Al Ahli Manama 2-2 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 24% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
0.92/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.18
-13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Muharraq
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
09.01.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHK
23.10.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
03.05.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
23.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
14.03.2022 Muharraq Muharraq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
2-2
AWAY Muharraq
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama and Muharraq shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Muharraq at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 50% of the ball to Muharraq's 50%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.17 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq?

Al Ahli Manama 2-2 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 27%, draw 29%, Muharraq 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muharraq) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ BTTS Yes
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