East Riffa 0-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.36/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.52
+16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Najma
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
14.02.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
04.01.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
02.09.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 0-2 East Riffa East Riffa BAHK
13.03.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
14.12.2020 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma squeezed past East Riffa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Riffa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for East Riffa and 1.17 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Al Najma?

East Riffa 0-1 Al Najma in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 36%, draw 25%, Al Najma 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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