Al Shabab Manama 2-0 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 61%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.38/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.12
+36% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -18%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 4-2 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
21.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
19.02.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
11.09.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
20.08.2020 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
2-0
AWAY Al Riffa
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama beat Al Riffa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 39% of the ball to Al Riffa's 61%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 2.20 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa?

Al Shabab Manama 2-0 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 25%, draw 25%, Al Riffa 50%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Riffa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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