Al Najma 1-3 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

Al Najma
1-3 HT 1-2
Khalidiya
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Khalidiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.38
2-3 Goals
46%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.72
6+ Goals
9%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Khalidiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.16/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.74
+14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Al Najma vs Khalidiya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
08.11.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 1-1 HT 1-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
09.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 0-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
10.01.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya saw off Al Najma 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Najma and 2.00 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Khalidiya?

Al Najma 1-3 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 25%, draw 25%, Khalidiya 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Over 2.5
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