Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
39%
-10.9pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+11.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.53/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.87
-49% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
1-0
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema squeezed past Arba Minch Kenema 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Dire Dawa Kenema made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 50% of the ball to Arba Minch Kenema's 50%, shots finished 6-2.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arba Minch Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 28%, draw 33%, Arba Minch Kenema 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arba Minch Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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