Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-10.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 58%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.73/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.42
+9% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
236 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelle Kenema
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 4-0 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
0-1
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance squeezed past Mekelle Kenema 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 43% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 57%, shots finished 7-3.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 27%, draw 28%, Ethiopian Insurance 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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