Gyeongju HNP 0-4 Pocheon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pocheon EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.35/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.80
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Pocheon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
14.07.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
31.03.2024 Pocheon Pocheon 0-2 HT 0-2 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
24.06.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-3 HT 1-3 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
11.03.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
13.08.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
16.04.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon swept aside Gyeongju HNP 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 0.83 for Pocheon.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon?

Gyeongju HNP 0-4 Pocheon in the South Kore - K3 League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 51%, draw 28%, Pocheon 21%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5
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