Okzhetpes 1-3 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 17 May 2025

Okzhetpes
1-3 HT 1-1
Aktobe
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2025

Okzhetpes vs Aktobe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Okzhetpes v Aktobe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
0.95/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.53
-5% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Okzhetpes vs Aktobe Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Aktobe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 10
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-1 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
09.03.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 5-1 HT 3-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
20.10.2019 Aktobe Aktobe 1-2 HT 1-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
25.04.2015 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 2-3 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe beat Okzhetpes 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Okzhetpes and 2.50 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Aktobe?

Okzhetpes 1-3 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 30%, draw 29%, Aktobe 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
17 May 2025
15:00 Atyrau vs Zhetysu Analysis →