Atyrau 1-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.52
Over 2.5
29%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.9pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.9pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.5pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +24%
1.29/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +34%
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
03.11.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-2 HT 0-2 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
30.03.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
30.07.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
20.05.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-3 HT 0-2 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
23.06.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
14.04.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 2-2 HT 0-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau and Zhetysu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atyrau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atyrau and 0.83 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Zhetysu?

Atyrau 1-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 36%, draw 33%, Zhetysu 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atyrau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atyrau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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