Atyrau 0-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-11.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.24/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
30.07.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
20.05.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-3 HT 0-2 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
23.06.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
14.04.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 2-2 HT 0-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
19.10.2019 Atyrau Atyrau 0-3 HT 0-3 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
19.10.2014 Atyrau Atyrau 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu squeezed past Atyrau 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Zhetysu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atyrau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atyrau and 1.17 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Zhetysu?

Atyrau 0-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhetysu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 34%, draw 29%, Zhetysu 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhetysu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zhetysu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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