Shakhter Karagandy 0-2 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.84
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 5.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhter Karagandy
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Turan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.10.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
05.08.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-2 HT 0-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
08.07.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZKK
08.05.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
02.10.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
14.05.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
POST-MATCH Shakhter Karagandy vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Turan saw off Shakhter Karagandy 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Turan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shakhter Karagandy and 0.50 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Shakhter Karagandy vs FK Turan?

Shakhter Karagandy 0-2 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhter Karagandy vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Turan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shakhter Karagandy 32%, draw 26%, FK Turan 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Turan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Turan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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