Chayka 1-0 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.32/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.23
+32% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
07.09.2019 Chayka Chayka 2-1 HT 2-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
1-0
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka edged past Rotor Volgograd 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chayka found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chayka had 47% of the ball to Rotor Volgograd's 53%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chayka had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chayka and 0.50 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Rotor Volgograd?

Chayka 1-0 Rotor Volgograd in the Russia - FNL on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chayka 35%, draw 27%, Rotor Volgograd 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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