FC Sochi 0-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.00/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
-21% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.41 xG 0.55
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
407 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1
30.04.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-1 HT 2-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
22.11.2022 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
14.09.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-3 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUK
17.07.2022 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past FC Sochi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sochi at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Sochi had 71% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 29%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Sochi had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Sochi and 1.60 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow?

FC Sochi 0-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 45%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moscow 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Sochi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
17 May 2025
08:00 SKA Khabarovsk vs FK Rodina Moskva Analysis →
17:00 Baltika Kaliningrad vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →
19:00 Chayka vs Rotor Volgograd Analysis →