Khimki 3-2 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
15.7 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 337
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-3 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
01.04.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-3 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
22.08.2021 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 1-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
19.03.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-3 HT 1-2 Khimki Khimki RUS
08.11.2020 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
25.09.2019 Khimki Khimki 3-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
3-2
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.80 xG 1.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
268 Passes 210
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki squeezed past Rubin Kazan 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khimki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Khimki had 56% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 44%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.80 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khimki had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Khimki and 1.00 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Rubin Kazan?

Khimki 3-2 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Khimki 42%, draw 29%, Rubin Kazan 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khimki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khimki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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