Bistrica 8-2 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.2pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 20%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
2.47/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.74
+37% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-1 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
19.11.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 1-0 HT 1-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
25.10.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-4 HT 0-3 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
12.11.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-1 HT 0-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
30.07.2022 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-1 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
8-2
AWAY Jadran Dekani
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica swept aside Jadran Dekani 8-2. Half-time: 4-2. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bistrica as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 8-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bistrica had 50% of the ball to Jadran Dekani's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bistrica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Bistrica and 0.60 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Jadran Dekani?

Bistrica 8-2 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 50%, draw 28%, Jadran Dekani 23%. The final score 8-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ BTTS No
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