NK Brinje 4-1 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
32%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-13.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
17%
+15.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.07/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.40
+15% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
391 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Brinje
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ilirija
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 1-6 HT 1-4 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
29.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 4-0 HT 2-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
27.11.2022 NK Brinje NK Brinje 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
14.08.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Brinje
4-1
AWAY Ilirija
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH NK Brinje vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje cruised past Ilirija 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, NK Brinje had 60% of the ball to Ilirija's 40%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ilirija led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for NK Brinje and 2.00 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Ilirija?

NK Brinje 4-1 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 48%, draw 21%, Ilirija 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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