Casarano 0-3 Union Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 May 2026

Casarano
0-3 HT 0-1
Union Brescia
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Casarano vs Union Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.8 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casarano v Union Brescia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.32
+27% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Casarano 0-3 Union Brescia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
0-3
AWAY Union Brescia
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Union Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Brescia ran out comfortable winners over Casarano 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Union Brescia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Casarano had 50% of the ball to Union Brescia's 50%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Union Brescia?

Casarano 0-3 Union Brescia in the Italy - Serie C on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Union Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Casarano 31%, draw 30%, Union Brescia 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Brescia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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