Salernitana 2-0 Ravenna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ravenna EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
0.12/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.26
-90% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ravenna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
28.01.2001 Salernitana Salernitana 1-0 HT 1-0 Ravenna Ravenna İTB
03.09.2000 Ravenna Ravenna 1-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
2-0
AWAY Ravenna
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Ravenna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana beat Ravenna 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Salernitana had 47% of the ball to Ravenna's 53%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Salernitana had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salernitana and 0.50 for Ravenna.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Ravenna?

Salernitana 2-0 Ravenna in the Italy - Serie C on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Ravenna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 42%, draw 28%, Ravenna 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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