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Ternana (K) vs AC Milan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ternana (K) v AC Milan (K) — Team-Based Signals
Ternana (K) vs AC Milan (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Ternana (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Ternana (K) edged past AC Milan (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AC Milan (K) at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Ternana (K) had 37% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 63%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.04 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ternana (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ternana (K) and 2.50 for AC Milan (K).
What was the final score of Ternana (K) vs AC Milan (K)?
Ternana (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ternana (K) vs AC Milan (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ternana (K) 20%, draw 21%, AC Milan (K) 59%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.