Napoli (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.43/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.86
+4% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
15.1 Crosses 9.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
205 Passes 269
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2026 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
13.04.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
02.03.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
07.12.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
20.09.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
03.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.28 xG 0.62
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
364 Passes 154
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) and Sassuolo (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Napoli (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 65% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 35%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.28 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Napoli (K) and 1.33 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Napoli (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 47%, draw 24%, Sassuolo (K) 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Napoli (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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