O Higgins 0-1 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-2.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Higgins EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.17/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.15
-34% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
23.8 Crosses 17.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Higgins
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
349 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 0-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
24.09.2020 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-4 HT 1-2 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
13.10.2019 O Higgins O Higgins 1-2 HT 1-2 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
27.05.2019 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 1-1 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
03.11.2018 O Higgins O Higgins 4-2 HT 2-2 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
04.02.2018 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 0-2 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME O Higgins
0-1
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
4.36 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
35 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 0
392 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
62 Box Touches 5
47 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH O Higgins vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Concepcion squeezed past O Higgins 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had O Higgins at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, O Higgins had 59% of the ball to Universidad Concepcion's 41%, shots finished 35-6, expected goals 4.36 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured O Higgins.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Higgins had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for O Higgins and 1.00 for Universidad Concepcion.

What was the final score of O Higgins vs Universidad Concepcion?

O Higgins 0-1 Universidad Concepcion in the Chile - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Higgins vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Higgins win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split O Higgins 58%, draw 20%, Universidad Concepcion 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (O Higgins) ✗ Over 2.5
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