Huachipato 3-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.68
Over 2.5
54%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.49/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.39
+27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.5 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
352 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
08.03.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
29.07.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
25.02.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.10.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-4 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
22.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-3 HT 2-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
3-1
AWAY Union La Calera
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
280 Passes 278
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato got the better of Union La Calera 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Huachipato had 49% of the ball to Union La Calera's 51%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Huachipato and 1.50 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Union La Calera?

Huachipato 3-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 46%, draw 25%, Union La Calera 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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