Huachipato 0-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.31
+3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
24.7 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
332 Passes 248
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-4 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
22.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-3 HT 2-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
09.08.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 3-4 HT 1-3 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
13.03.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
08.11.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-2 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
01.08.2021 Huachipato Huachipato 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
0-1
AWAY Union La Calera
0.83 xG 0.06
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
440 Passes 193
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera edged past Huachipato 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Huachipato at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Huachipato had 66% of the ball to Union La Calera's 34%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 0.83 to 0.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Huachipato.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Huachipato and 1.67 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Union La Calera?

Huachipato 0-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 43%, draw 26%, Union La Calera 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Huachipato) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Huachipato) ✓ Under 2.5
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