Universidad Chile 1-0 Audax Italiano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.35/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.26
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.6 Crosses 14.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Audax Italiano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
283 Passes 255
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
16.04.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
04.10.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-3 HT 1-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
29.04.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
16.10.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
01.06.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-0
AWAY Audax Italiano
0.28 xG 0.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
319 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 7
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Audax Italiano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile edged past Audax Italiano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Universidad Chile made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 56% of the ball to Audax Italiano's 44%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.28 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universidad Chile and 1.50 for Audax Italiano.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Audax Italiano?

Universidad Chile 1-0 Audax Italiano in the Chile - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Audax Italiano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 39%, draw 33%, Audax Italiano 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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