Palestino 5-0 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -8%
1.74/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.59
+16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
227 Passes 268
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.06.2022 Palestino Palestino 0-1 HT 0-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİK
19.06.2022 Cobreloa Cobreloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİLİK
07.01.2015 Cobreloa Cobreloa 3-0 HT 1-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
20.07.2014 Palestino Palestino 1-2 HT 0-2 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
04.05.2014 Palestino Palestino 4-0 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
02.03.2014 Cobreloa Cobreloa 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
5-0
AWAY Cobreloa
2.18 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 5
251 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino swept aside Cobreloa 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Palestino had 46% of the ball to Cobreloa's 54%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.18 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palestino and 1.00 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Cobreloa?

Palestino 5-0 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Palestino 47%, draw 29%, Cobreloa 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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