Huachipato 1-0 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.27/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.41
-11% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.0 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.24 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
350 Passes 228
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
29.07.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
25.02.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.10.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-4 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
22.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-3 HT 2-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
09.08.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 3-4 HT 1-3 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
1-0
AWAY Union La Calera
1.13 xG 0.08
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
404 Passes 156
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
40 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato nicked a narrow win over Union La Calera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Huachipato as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Huachipato had 66% of the ball to Union La Calera's 34%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.13 to 0.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Huachipato and 2.17 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Union La Calera?

Huachipato 1-0 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 47%, draw 25%, Union La Calera 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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