Universidad Chile 4-1 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
59%
+5.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.79/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.50
-2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
28.4 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
249 Passes 317
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2025 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-2 HT 0-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
28.08.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
08.04.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
18.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 2-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
29.01.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
03.11.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
4-1
AWAY Union Espanola
3.04 xG 1.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
413 Passes 363
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
37 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile swept aside Union Espanola 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 53% of the ball to Union Espanola's 47%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 3.04 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universidad Chile and 0.67 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Union Espanola?

Universidad Chile 4-1 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 65%, draw 20%, Union Espanola 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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