Universidad Chile 2-0 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.43
Over 2.5
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-15.9pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.6pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.58/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.65
-24% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
30.4 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Chile
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
218 Passes 302
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
18.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 2-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
29.01.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
03.11.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
27.10.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
07.08.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
2-0
AWAY Union Espanola
0.55 xG 0.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
401 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile saw off Union Espanola 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 55% of the ball to Union Espanola's 45%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Universidad Chile and 0.83 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Union Espanola?

Universidad Chile 2-0 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 50%, draw 26%, Union Espanola 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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