Cobreloa 1-0 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.5pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.09/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.29
+19% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
25.8 Crosses 21.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.22 xG 1.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
215 Passes 347
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
6 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-1 HT 1-1 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
06.09.2021 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-1 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
04.05.2021 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-1 HT 1-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobreloa
1-0
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.04 xG 0.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
402 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobreloa nicked a narrow win over Coquimbo Unido 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 41%) promised a tight game; Cobreloa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cobreloa had 55% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 45%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 1.04 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cobreloa and 1.67 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido?

Cobreloa 1-0 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 36%, draw 24%, Coquimbo Unido 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coquimbo Unido), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
28 Aug 2024
01:00 Universidad Chile vs Union Espanola Analysis →
03:30 Deportes Iquique vs Copiapo Analysis →
22:00 Cobresal vs U. Catolica Analysis →