Cobresal 3-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +23%
1.65/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.51
+40% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.7 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 395
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 U. Catolica 2-0 HT 2-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
29.07.2023 Cobresal Cobresal 2-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
13.02.2023 U. Catolica 3-3 HT 3-2 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
31.07.2022 U. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
07.03.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
16.10.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 1-3 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
3-1
AWAY U. Catolica
1.01 xG 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
223 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal beat U. Catolica 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Cobresal made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cobresal had 39% of the ball to U. Catolica's 61%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.01 to 1.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured U. Catolica.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cobresal and 2.00 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs U. Catolica?

Cobresal 3-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 39%, draw 24%, U. Catolica 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobresal) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cobresal) ✗ BTTS No
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