Union Espanola 0-2 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
15%
+11.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 70%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
0.66/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.57
-69% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
22.0 Crosses 22.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
307 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
08.04.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
18.07.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 2-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
29.01.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
03.11.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
27.10.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
0-2
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.69 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
305 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile beat Union Espanola 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Union Espanola had 57% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.69 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Espanola and 0.67 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile?

Union Espanola 0-2 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 27%, draw 22%, Universidad Chile 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ BTTS Yes
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