Union La Calera 2-1 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.19/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.5 Crosses 19.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Huachipato
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.34
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
228 Passes 366
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.10.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-4 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
22.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-3 HT 2-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
09.08.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 3-4 HT 1-3 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
13.03.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
08.11.2021 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-2 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
2-1
AWAY Huachipato
0.53 xG 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
165 Passes 329
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera squeezed past Huachipato 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Union La Calera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union La Calera had 39% of the ball to Huachipato's 61%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.53 to 1.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Huachipato.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union La Calera and 1.83 for Huachipato.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Union La Calera 2-1 Huachipato in the Chile - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 38%, draw 28%, Huachipato 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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