Audax Italiano 1-0 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.53/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.2 Crosses 19.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
253 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
03.10.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
16.04.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-2 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
04.10.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-3 HT 1-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
29.04.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-0 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
16.10.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
1-0
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.40 xG 1.21
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
173 Passes 358
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano squeezed past Universidad Chile 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 36% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 64%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.40 to 1.21 — on chances, Universidad Chile could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.17 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Universidad Chile?

Audax Italiano 1-0 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 32%, draw 24%, Universidad Chile 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
29 Jul 2024
03:00 Union La Calera vs Huachipato Analysis →