Union La Calera 1-0 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.39/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.32
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.4 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Huachipato
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
216 Passes 360
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
25.02.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
07.10.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-4 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
22.04.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-3 HT 2-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
09.08.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 3-4 HT 1-3 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
13.03.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
1-0
AWAY Huachipato
2.15 xG 0.14
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
448 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 5
36 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera nicked a narrow win over Huachipato 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union La Calera as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Union La Calera had 60% of the ball to Huachipato's 40%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.15 to 0.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union La Calera's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Union La Calera and 1.67 for Huachipato.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Union La Calera 1-0 Huachipato in the Chile - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union La Calera win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 43%, draw 30%, Huachipato 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union La Calera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union La Calera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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