Sabah 1-2 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.53
No
37%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.1pp
37%
BTTS No
39%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
1.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.90
+36% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
08.12.2025 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
14.09.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
23.04.2025 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERK
02.04.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-2 HT 1-1 Sabah Sabah AZERK
19.01.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
27.10.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK squeezed past Sabah 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Neftçi PFK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sabah and 0.50 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Neftçi PFK?

Sabah 1-2 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sabah 38%, draw 26%, Neftçi PFK 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sabah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
17 May 2026
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