Zira 2-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -17%
1.82/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.44
-9% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sumqayıt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
03.03.2026 Zira Zira 2-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERK
08.02.2026 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-3 HT 1-2 Zira Zira AZERS
04.02.2026 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
25.10.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
20.04.2025 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 2-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
15.02.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-3 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Sumqayıt 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zira and 0.50 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Zira 2-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Zira 61%, draw 22%, Sumqayıt 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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