Zira 1-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
2.14/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.35
+14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sumqayıt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
20.04.2025 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 2-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
15.02.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-3 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
30.11.2024 Zira Zira 4-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
22.09.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-2 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
12.04.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
13.02.2024 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Sumqayıt 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zira and 0.33 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Zira 1-0 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Zira 60%, draw 25%, Sumqayıt 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
25 Oct 2025
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