Zira 3-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.4pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.92/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.02
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
15.02.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-3 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
30.11.2024 Zira Zira 4-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
22.09.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-2 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
12.04.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
13.02.2024 Zira Zira 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
26.11.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira saw off Sumqayıt 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zira and 0.17 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Zira 3-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Zira 58%, draw 22%, Sumqayıt 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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