Sumqayıt 2-3 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.1pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.12/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.68
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +70%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
04.02.2026 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
25.10.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
20.04.2025 Zira Zira 3-1 HT 2-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
15.02.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-3 HT 0-2 Zira Zira AZERS
30.11.2024 Zira Zira 4-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
22.09.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-2 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Sumqayıt 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sumqayıt and 2.17 for Zira.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Zira?

Sumqayıt 2-3 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 32%, draw 24%, Zira 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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8 Feb 2026
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