Leones del Norte 3-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 May 2026

Leones del Norte
3 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Mushuc Runa
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.54
Over
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Leones del Norte v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leones del Norte The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa The Market 37%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones del Norte
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.07.2024 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKVK

Leones del Norte 3-1 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones del Norte
3 - 1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
2.30 xG 0.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
198 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leones del Norte put daylight between themselves and Mushuc Runa 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

The model refused to pick a side here (35% / 32% / 33%); Leones del Norte picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Leones del Norte had 42% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 58%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.30 to 0.74.

Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa Result & Final Score

Leones del Norte 3 - 1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leones del Norte vs Mushuc Runa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones del Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 35%, draw 32%, Mushuc Runa 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones del Norte) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones del Norte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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