Bali United 4-1 Bhayangkara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
45%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bhayangkara United EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.07/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.45
-28% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bhayangkara United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.11.2025 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
08.12.2022 Bali United Bali United 3-0 HT 3-0 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United ENDL1
12.02.2022 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 0-3 HT 0-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
13.09.2019 Bhayangkara United Bhayangkara United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bali United
4-1
AWAY Bhayangkara United
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Bhayangkara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United cruised past Bhayangkara United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bali United had 49% of the ball to Bhayangkara United's 51%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bali United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Bali United and 0.50 for Bhayangkara United.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Bhayangkara United?

Bali United 4-1 Bhayangkara United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Bhayangkara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bali United 52%, draw 22%, Bhayangkara United 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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