PSIM Yogyakarta 2-1 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.0
Over 2.5
39%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
46%
+14.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
54%
-14.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSIM Yogyakarta EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.48/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.13
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSIM Yogyakarta
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Madura United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
10.01.2026 Madura United Madura United 0-3 HT 0-0 PSIM Yogyakarta PSIM Yogyakarta ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSIM Yogyakarta
2-1
AWAY Madura United
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH PSIM Yogyakarta vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSIM Yogyakarta squeezed past Madura United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSIM Yogyakarta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSIM Yogyakarta had 62% of the ball to Madura United's 38%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of PSIM Yogyakarta vs Madura United?

PSIM Yogyakarta 2-1 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSIM Yogyakarta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PSIM Yogyakarta 47%, draw 26%, Madura United 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSIM Yogyakarta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSIM Yogyakarta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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