Medeama 5-2 Heart of Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
79%
-11.6pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.4pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Medeama EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Heart of Lions EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.87/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.37
+11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Medeama
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Heart of Lions
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2025 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Medeama Medeama GANA
16.04.2025 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions 1-0 Medeama Medeama GANA
05.10.2024 Medeama Medeama 0-0 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions GANA
POST-MATCH Medeama vs Heart of Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Medeama swept aside Heart of Lions 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Medeama as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Medeama and 0.33 for Heart of Lions.

What was the final score of Medeama vs Heart of Lions?

Medeama 5-2 Heart of Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Medeama vs Heart of Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Medeama win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Medeama 68%, draw 18%, Heart of Lions 14%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Medeama), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Medeama) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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