Lee Man 2-3 Wofoo Tai Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.18/2.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/2.23
+19% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.01.2026 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 3-5 HT 0-2 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
30.08.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 2-2 HT 1-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
30.03.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 3-7 HT 0-3 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
11.01.2025 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 1-0 HT 1-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
14.09.2024 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 2-1 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
24.02.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 0-0 HT 0-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
2-3
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Wofoo Tai Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wofoo Tai Po squeezed past Lee Man 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lee Man at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Lee Man had 51% of the ball to Wofoo Tai Po's 49%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wofoo Tai Po led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lee Man and 2.50 for Wofoo Tai Po.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Lee Man 2-3 Wofoo Tai Po in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 46%, draw 21%, Wofoo Tai Po 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lee Man) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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17 May 2026
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