17/05/2026
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
30%
Draw
24%
41%
Away Win
48%
56%
Under 2.5
45%
44%
Over 2.5
55%
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
51%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
III. Kerületi TUE v ESMTK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
III. Kerületi TUE
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
ESMTK
EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+31% /
+31%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+25%
/
+95%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
333 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
350 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
III. Kerületi TUE
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
ESMTK
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
57%
Ball Possession
43%
7
Total Shots
3
1
Shots on Target
1
6
Corners
7
0
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
III. Kerületi TUE saw off ESMTK 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was ESMTK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK?
III. Kerületi TUE 3-1 ESMTK in the Hungary - NB III on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for III. Kerületi TUE vs ESMTK?
Before kick-off our model rated an ESMTK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split III. Kerületi TUE 29%, draw 30%, ESMTK 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (ESMTK)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Hungary - NB III
17 May 2026