Tarpa 2-1 Disgyor II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarpa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Disgyor II EU Bookmakers 27%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.62
+60% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tarpa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Disgyor II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.11.2025 Disgyor II 2-1 HT 0-1 Tarpa MAC3
POST-MATCH Tarpa vs Disgyor II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarpa squeezed past Disgyor II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tarpa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Tarpa vs Disgyor II?

Tarpa 2-1 Disgyor II in the Hungary - NB III on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarpa vs Disgyor II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tarpa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tarpa 45%, draw 28%, Disgyor II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tarpa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tarpa) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC3 More Hungary - NB III
17 May 2026
12:00 Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros Analysis →
12:00 Kisvarda II vs Cigand SE Analysis →
12:00 Puskas FC II vs Bicskei Analysis →
12:00 Paksi SE II vs Majosi Analysis →
12:00 Ferencvaros II vs Pecsi MFC Analysis →
12:00 MTK II vs Dunaujvaros-Palhalma Analysis →