Kalisz 0-2 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
13%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.10/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.00
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Warta Poznan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
31.10.2025 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 4-2 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-2
AWAY Warta Poznan
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan beat Kalisz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Warta Poznan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kalisz had 45% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 55%, shots finished 3-10.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Warta Poznan?

Kalisz 0-2 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 30%, draw 24%, Warta Poznan 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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