Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.72 xG 3.03
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 31
5 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 22
345 Passes 505
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 52
1 Yellow Cards 4
18.04.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 4-2 HT 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves ABDK
06.04.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-4 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion ABDK
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves and Birmingham Legion shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 4.00 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Birmingham Legion?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 Birmingham Legion in the USLKP on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 36%, draw 30%, Birmingham Legion 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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