Oakland Roots 0-1 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.44 xG 1.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
388 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2025 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-3 HT 2-2 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
05.05.2025 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
21.07.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-5 HT 0-3 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
16.06.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-3 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
03.09.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
21.05.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-1 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Sacramento Republic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oakland Roots and 2.50 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

Oakland Roots 0-1 Sacramento Republic in the USLKP on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 32%, draw 31%, Sacramento Republic 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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