Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
3-1
HT 1-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Oakland Roots
USLP
Sacramento Republic 3-3 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 37% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 63%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.77 to 1.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.00 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?
Sacramento Republic 3-3 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 54%, draw 25%, Oakland Roots 21%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.